Surprise Emissary Pushing Ukraine Ceasefire Plan Reveals JD Vance Influence on American Policy
America's Army Secretary, Daniel Driscoll, was an unlikely diplomat for the White House's latest initiative to end the conflict in Ukraine. His strong connection with JD Vance has placed a close associate of the Eurosceptic VP at the center of Donald Trump latest effort to settle the conflict.
Prior to his last week's trip to Kyiv, Driscoll was not known as a mediator or statesman, and his early attempts to sell the deal to officials in Europe were labeled turbulent.
His close relationship with Vance, who he attended Yale and shares a personal bond, signal the rising influence of the isolationist vice-president in talks to resolve the Ukraine crisis.
Vance's Involvement in Ceasefire Negotiations
It was Vance who stepped in during Ukraine's president's rocky initial visit to the White House in March and insisted he show Trump more respect. Currently, Ukraine is once again pushing back against pressure from the US to accept a quick deal that Ukrainian leaders have described as a capitulation.
After a chaotic first year in power, international decisions in the White House are reportedly influenced by a handful of Trump's key advisers, including chief of staff Susie Wiles, conservative advisor Stephen Miller, envoy Steve Witkoff, State Department head Marco Rubio, and of course Vance.
Vance has been a outspoken supporter of the latest proposal, which was developed by Witkoff and Trump's relative Jared Kushner, alongside the Russian diplomat Kirill Dmitriev.
“All criticism of the ceasefire plan the White House is developing either misinterprets the proposal or misrepresents some critical situation on the ground,” Vance wrote.
Initial Attempts and European Responses
Vance's initial attempts at hammering out a ceasefire agreement with Russia, while also attempting to restore ties with Moscow, were unsuccessful and left his camp feeling frustrated with their Russian counterparts. Leaders in Europe, in turn, were irritated by his early remarks, in which he accused them of ignoring their constituents, who Vance said held restrictionist and right-leaning views close to those of Trump's own constituency.
However, the new ceasefire proposal closely resembled his stances, and he has been one of the most assertive spokespeople for the deal in the government, even as the US has been under fire for accepting a ceasefire plan that largely echoes Vladimir Putin's maximalist demands.
In social media updates this weekend, Vance argued that a peace deal would have to produce a truce that respected Ukrainian independence, be agreeable to each party, and prevent the war from resuming.
“Peace won’t be made by failed negotiators or officials residing in a fantasy land,” he added. “It might be made by smart people operating in the real world.”
Additionally, it was Vance who continued on the presentation of the peace plan in a conversation with Volodymyr Zelenskyy. Trump had primarily tasked his staff with obtaining a signature on the peace deal prior to Thanksgiving this Thursday in the United States.
The Secretary of State's Reaction and Private Doubts
That was a notably more full-throated endorsement of the plan than that given by the secretary of state and security advisor, Marco Rubio, a more traditional hardliner in the administration who has gone from a shaky position inside the administration to more firm footing.
Rubio was part of a US team that went to Geneva this weekend to confer with Ukrainian leaders to help moderate the original 28-point peace plan in order to make it more acceptable to authorities in Kyiv.
But, his first reaction to the agreement was lukewarm:
“Ending a complex and violent war such as the one in Ukraine demands an thorough exchange of serious and pragmatic ideas,” Rubio stated over the weekend. “And, securing a durable peace will necessitate each party to consent to challenging but necessary compromises. This is the reason we are and will persist to create a set of potential ideas for ending this war drawing from input from each party of this conflict.”
Behind closed doors, he was reportedly much more doubtful of the plan. The Republican senator Mike Rounds said last week at the Halifax International Security Forum in Nova Scotia that Rubio had contacted legislators to explain that the deal was just a initial proposal from the Russians and not an initiative advocated by the White House.
“The Secretary did make a call to us this afternoon and I believe he made it very clear to us that we are the recipients of a proposal that was presented to one of our officials,” said Rounds. “It is not our suggestion, it is not our ceasefire proposal.”
Rubio moved quickly to fall in line. “The peace proposal was authored by the US,” he later stated. “The framework is presented as a strong framework for ongoing negotiations. It is based on feedback from the Moscow. However, it is also based on previous and current input from Ukraine.”